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Could Climate Change Cause Another American Civil War?

For more than 100 years, people in the Northern and Southern states have been debating the issues that ultimately led to the first Civil war: economic policies and practices, cultural values, the extent and reach of the Federal government, and, most importantly, the role of slavery, Racism and White Supremacy within American society. Is climate the straw that breaks the camel's back.

Evidence links rise in temperature to a rise in civil war. Researchers at Princeton University and UC Berkeley found that a rise in average annual temperature by even 1° Celsius (1.8° Fahrenheit) leads to a 4.5% increase in civil war that year.

How did the environment affect the Civil War?

The natural and built environment directly shaped the course and outcome of the U.S. Civil War. Disease, weather, terrain, animals, food, and a host of other environmental factors were all inextricably tied to both large-scale campaigns and back yard battles across the South.

The most recent United Nations research findings indicate that food shortages stemming from extreme weather events could potentially lead to civil unrest in the the USA and UK within 50 years. Shortages of staple carbohydrates like wheat, bread, pasta and cereal appear to be the most likely triggers of such unrest. Historically weather had always impacted the European who was unused to the extremes of the American or as Natives called it Turtle Island's weather. In fact southern plantation owners would leave the coastal rice fields of the Carolina's during the summer for fear of stroke and malaria allowing the Gullah Geechee people to maintain and pass on their language songs and cultural traditions of the Mende' people from which they were stolen.

Climate change-driven extreme weather and related disasters can damage economies, lower farming and livestock production and intensify inequality among social groups. These factors, when combined with other drivers of conflict, may increase risks of violence. Historically during the American Civil War the North was poised to lose the South had more money, and although they had fewer troops by 1863 the South's greatest strength lay in the fact that it was fighting on the defensive in its own territory. Familiar with the landscape, Southerners could harass Northern invaders. The military and political objectives of the Union were much more difficult to accomplish.

despite the North's enormous superiority in manpower and material, the South had a two-to-one chance of winning the contest. Look closely. The North's fundamental objective in the war was to force the South – physically as well as mentally the morale of the South was high after the significant battles fought at Wilson's Creek, Blackburn's Ford, and Bull Run in 1861 and the Confederates were appalled when in 1862 Black soldiers were conscripted and fought them with a ferocity unmatched previously by the Union Army this prompted many Confederate officers to refuse to take blacks as prisoners they instead executed all they captured. The South fought desperately from April 20 - May 6 1863 at the the Battle of Chancellorsville which was one of the major battle of the Civil War and was considered to be Robert E. Lee's "perfect battle" because his decisions ultimately led the South to believe there would be a clear Confederate victory.

This hope was dashed a month later in the culmination of one of the bloodiest battles of the war, the Battle of Port Hudson the first time free blacks were credited with being the reason a battle was won (also known as the Siege of Port Hudson.) This battle took place from March of 1863 until July of 1863. This battle between the Union and Confederacy fighting over a strategic location along the Mississippi River. African American formerly enslaved troops from the 9th Louisiana Infantry, the 1st Mississippi Infantry, and the 13th Louisiana Infantry unleashed hell on the Confederate army as they fought alongside white troops from the 10th Illinois Cavalry and the 23rd Iowa Infantry. Shortly thereafter The Battle of Gettysburg was fought July 1–3, 1863, in and around the town of Gettysburg, Pennsylvania, by Union and Confederate forces during the American Civil War. The battle involved the largest number of casualties of the entire war and is often described as the war's turning point.

Sudan's civil war (Sudan means Black People's Land) is often described as the first modern climate change-induced conflict – what other conflicts have been caused (indirectly) by climate change? The evidence is clear that climate change does contribute to increased conflict, but along indirect pathways. Sudan has 50 years of civil war. Since 1956, when Sudan first gained independence from the United Kingdom, the West then proceeded to fund both sides in the war to reap lower costs of resources by fomenting war since then there have been only 11 years of peace. From 1924 onwards, the British Colonizers essentially divided Sudan into two separate territories–a predominantly Muslim Arabic-speaking north, and a predominantly Animist and Christian south, where the use of English was encouraged by Christian missionaries, whose main role was instructional and information gathering for their respective nations.

The average annual U.S. humanitarian assistance for the people of Sudan and neighboring countries that are supporting Sudanese refugees is 500-800 million it has grown to $840 million this 2023 fiscal year. Coincidentally Sudan's military budget averages between 500 million to 800 million in 2018 it was 1 billion. Also in 2018 the 2018 humanitarian appeal for Sudan, was a request for $1b to aid 4.3 million people! The Sudanese Armed Forces today are equipped mainly with Soviet, Russian, Chinese, Ukrainian, and Sudanese manufactured weaponry bought with American money. According to reports, the United Arab Emirates UAE has been supplying arms to both the RSF and the Sudanese Army since 2014. These weapons reportedly include small arms, ammunition, and armored vehicles. The UAE has also reportedly trained members of the RSF in the use of these weapons.

Again this story repeats itself Climate global warming food shortages, arms deals, humanitarian aid waylaid and death. It, (Civil War) is essentially a set up. A confidence game, because there is no great profit to be made in peace... happy people who can feed their children, see hope for tomorrow, accept each others differences and work to build unity don't go to war. The lack of food could have been addressed easily with 500 million dollars spent on agriculture by supplying communities with solar powered atmospheric water generators a 20 year old technology that can supply a community with thousands of gallons daily of free water for less than 25 thousand dollars for 500 million you could give 5000 communities years of water paired with re-education and historical truths taught to ameliorate deep-rooted social and political tensions which exacerbate the risk of conflict until there is a contrived civil war. Climate change heightened the competition for invaluable resources but those are shipped to foreign nations to fund the war, further intensifying the pre-existing tensions between religious and ethnic groups.


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